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Scott Brown's Nostalgorithm for Pop-Culture Sensations
According to our formula, the proper release date for this X-Files movie is 2018 — not 2008.
Interesting, but what he overlooks is that an early release and an optimal release are not mutually exclusive. Aside from the fact that you can just wait ten years to watch the movie, it makes sense from a studio's financial POV as well. Most of the profits on a movie are from post-theatrical release (currently, this means DVD) properties, which means the financial take of the X-Files movies will be less influenced by poor performance at the box office as long as the DVD sales are strong (either now, or ten years from now). What they have now that they won't have ten years from now are actors. Probability of the interest (and ability) of Duchovney/Anderson to participate in this movie decreases rapidly with age. So, we have a high urgency to make the movie for logistical reasons, and the financial incentive is compatible with an earlier-than-optimal release. By these powers combined, we have the movie now.
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